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John Kerry gave a good, detailed speech about Afghanistan policy today.cheap gucci belts His sense that McChrystal’s 40,000 request is too much, too soon is especially noteworthy. I hate to make predictions, but just this once: I still think Obama will approve 20-25,000 troops–two brigades to secure Kandahar city and environs, plus three to train the Afghan security forces (although I’m more skeptical than the U.S. Military about our ability to create an Afghan army of 250,000 or more, plus hundreds of thousands of non-corrupt police officers).fake gucci shoes Meanwhile, I’m heading overseas for a week or so and probably won’t be blogging much. And furthermore: The right-wing hate machine is gearing up for another jihad, this time against Dalia Mogahed, a Gallup analyst who specializes in Muslim public opinion. I know Dalia; she’s terrific. Her work on the relative moderation of most Muslims has been invaluable.louis vuitton outlet online And I agree with Jeff Goldberg that this smear campaign is outrageous.
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Less than two weeks ago, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid’s aides and colleagues were saying they were all but certain he would bring health care legislation to the Senate floor without a public option.fake louis vuitton shoes Yesterday, as everyone who follows this issue now knows, he did the opposite. It’s a big gamble. While Reid will likely be able to hold his caucus together and get all 60 votes he needs for the procedural vote to bring the bill to the floor (known as a “motion to proceed”), he’s still at least three votes short on the more crucial vote of cloture–that is, cutting off a promised filibuster by Republicans. So why did he go for it? There are some subtle shifts in the politics around public option on Capitol Hill that have given it a new–though still fragile–lease on life.louis vuitton backpack for sale Among them are these five: 1. The poll numbers. As Swampland readers know, the public option has enjoyed strong public support all year. But what surprised some on Capitol Hill was that it continued to do well in a more recent round of polls, even after the craziness of the August town hall meetings.louis vuitton outlet online What that says to politicians is that the sentiment for a public option is out there, and it’s resilient. 2. The CBO numbers. Another boost came from the Congressional Budget Office, which showed that a public option could save money, and that a strong public option could save even more.replica louis vuitton That puts conservatives in the unsettling position of standing for more spending. 3. The insurance lobby overplayed its hand. They had assumed that a consultants report warning of higher premiums under health reform would deal a crippling blow.gucci handbag for sale But the methodology was so skewed that its main effect was to damage the insurers’ own credibility — and to diminish their goodwill on Capitol Hill. The argument that a public option might blow a hole in the insurance industry’s business model isn’t getting as much sympathy as it was a few weeks ago, when the insurers were considered a crucial ally to keep at the table. 4. More horror stories.gucci outlet online Recent weeks have seen a spate of reports showing how badly insurance companies can act when they are left unchecked: one baby denied coverage because he was too big, another because she was too small, and a woman who couldn’t get health insurance because she had been raped and was taking anti-HIV drugs as a preventive measure. 5. Home-state politics. Specifically, Harry Reid’s poll numbers back in Nevada, where he faces a potentially difficult re-election fight next year.chanel handbags for sale If Reid is to survive, he can’t afford a disaffected Democratic base. Win or lose on this one, he will at least be able to tell liberals he gave his best effort to a cause that has, for them, become the most important element of health care reform.
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They’re bringing out the cots again in the Senate.fake louis vuitton shoes These guys have offices, with BIG COMFY COUCHES, that are about a five-minute walk from the Senate floor. They have 15 minutes to get to the floor when the buzzers go off for a vote or a quorum call (though in practice the parliamentarian will hold the vote open longer if necessary). Many of them also have hideaways that are in the Capitol itself, just a few steps from the Chamber. And we are talking about ONE ALL-NIGHTER, not a nine-day filibuster.louis vuitton replica But if it makes them feel like Senators: (FYI: Here’s the last time they pulled out the cots. It was a stunt when Bill Frist did it, too.) UPDATE: Several commenters, including Cfaller96 and Anonymous, raise the issue of filibusters. Harry Reid’s idea with this all-nighter is to call attention to the fact that the Republicans are staging one against the various proposals to change course in the Iraq War.gucci handbag for sale But, as Anonymous suggests, there’s a better way to call attention to this filibuster: Make them actually do it–not just for one night, but until everyone is ready to drop from exhaustion and Senators have to start cancelling their fundraisers and their weekend trips. Maybe then they might really have to use those cots.
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Leon Panetta first ran afoul of a president when he was a lowly federal staffer more than 40 years ago.louis vuitton handbags for sale The president was Richard Nixon, who didn’t like the way Panetta, then a civil-rights advocate at the old Department of Health, Education and Welfare, pressed the Administration to speed up school integration. Panetta resigned, moved back to California and ran for Congress. Nixon??s own Oval Office tapes captured him describing Panetta??s resulting 1971 book on the experience, Bring Us Together, as ??a case history on how to screw the White House.?? Now, after a dazzling career that has taken him from the Capitol, to the White House, to his current post running the U.gucci handbag for saleS. military, he finds himself in — and out — of hot water once again. Panetta volunteered Feb. 1 that the U.louis vuitton handbags for saleS. was looking to hand over responsibility for combat operations across all of Afghanistan to Afghan troops sometime in 2013 ?? well before the planned U.S. departure by the end of 2014.louis vuitton backpack for sale Then he apparently suggested to a reporter that Israel might strike Iran as soon as this summer. That was too much of a green light for the White House, which three days later yanked the reins. ??I don??t think,?? Obama told NBC??s Matt Lauer shortly before the Super Bowl kickoff, ??that Israel has made a decision on what they need to do.?? Panetta’s allies say Leon was just being himself.louis vuitton handbags for sale Confiding and candid, and blessed with an easy laugh, Panetta, 73, has been around Washington longer than Eric Cantor has been in long pants. He spent 16 years in Congress rising to Budget Committee chairman, and then became the rare Democrat to serve in four Cabinet jobs: budget director and chief of staff for Clinton, and CIA Director and now Pentagon boss for President Obama. No one else alive in his party has had such range or depth. On Afghanistan, Panetta made explicit what many in the U.gucci outlet onlineS. military believe: after a decade of war, Afghanistan??s security forces need to start shouldering more of the load faster. He was multitasking: prodding the Afghans to get their act together, while making clear Obama??s desire to bring U.S.louis vuitton speedy troops home as quickly as possible. It??s a high-wire act, and he??s under unusual pressure from his party as the first Democrat to run the Pentagon since 1997, and not simply default to GOP-lite. As a one-time junior Army officer ?? and a son, one of three, who earned a Bronze Star in Afghanistan with the Navy reserve ?? Panetta has the gravitas to run the Defense Department. That??s something ?? as the nation??s military officers increasingly lean Republican ?? Democrats don??t always seem to have, or understand.louis vuitton handbags for sale But Panetta speaks their language. “I’ve been in hearings for the last three days,” he told airmen in Louisiana Feb. 17. “Shit, I think I should get some kind of award going through that crap.fake ugg boots”?(“He’s the consummate straight shooter,” George Little, his spokesman at the CIA and now the Pentagon, says. “You always know where you stand with him.”) But sometimes his words go off target. After Panetta met with the Washington Post??s David Ignatius earlies this month, the columnist wrote that ??Panetta believes there is a strong likelihood that Israel will strike Iran in April, May or June.louis vuitton speedy?? That came as a jolt to the Obama Administration??s carefully orchestrated plan to keeping tightening economic sanctions on Iran. The goal is to give them enough time ?? through the election, perhaps ?? to bite. Any attack would likely derail that strategy. It would only delay Iran??s alleged quest for nuclear weapons by a year or two, Administration officials believe, and encourage Tehran to develop nuclear weapons.handbags louis vuitton Diplomacy, Obama said in that Super Bowl chat, remains the ??preferred solution.?? Senator Roger Wicker asked Panetta about Ignatius?? assessment of the defense secretary??s thinking. ??I usually don’t comment on columnists’ ideas about what I’m thinking,?? Panetta responded. The Mississippi Republican pressed him on whether he has a view on the chance of an Israeli attack on Iran this spring.replica gucci shoes ??I do not,?? the Pentagon chief said. It was classic Panetta sleight-of-mouth: the world will recall what Panetta was supposedly thinking long after it has forgotten his denial. But sometimes it??s just Leon speaking Leongua franca. He relishes the role: “There was some talk here of trying to put a seven-second delay on the microphones for the ceremony,” he said at his Pentagon swearing-in.louis vuitton outlet online “But I can??t imagine why the hell that would be necessary.” He praises two top Army officers of Italian heritage as his “spaghetti generals.?? And he regularly blames his not-so-bon-mots on his parents, who emigrated to California from Italy. ??As an Italian,?? he told laughing members of a congressional panel on Feb.gucci outlet online 16, ??I’m a control freak.?? Panetta is nothing if not in charge. The next day he told those troops at Barksdale Air Force Base ?? safely out of congressional earshot ?? about that ??crap?? he had to endure before Congress, even as he had made lawmakers laugh. ??I told General [Martin] Dempsey [chairman of the Joint Chiefs, who shared a foxhole with Panetta during their testimony] I need a new combat badge for going to Capitol Hill,?? he said.louis vuitton shoes replica The ensuing pause echoed Bob Hope’s perfect timing when addressing the troops. ??With clusters.
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Rick Santorum had a pretty lousy night in Arizona, but his candidacy has raised some valuable social questions, as I argue in my latest print column (available to TIME subscribers).louis vuitton outlet online His candidacy also demonstrates the traditional problems that long-term members of Congress have when they attempt to run for President. Legislative democracy is complicated and untidy. You have to make difficult choices all the time–and, to my mind, the decisive moment in Wednesday night’s debate came when Santorum empretzeled himself in an effort to explain why he’d voted to fund Planned Parenthood, of all things. “I did vote for Title X,” he began–and thereby lost much of the audience.louis vuitton speedy Title X? Members of Congress speak a tortured sub-species of the English language and often forget that, say, regular human beings might not know that a “Title” is a section of a bill. Santorum went on to explain that Title X was part of a humongous health appropriations bill, most of which he favored. And then he empretzled himself even more by saying that he had fought to include–wait for it–a Title XX in the bill, appropriating funds for abstinence education. Ron Paul was having none of it.cheap gucci belts He didn’t believe the government should appropriate funds for either Planned Parenthood or abstinence education. And he used the example to show how Congress transforms the most well-intentioned conservatives into liberals: if you vote against the health appropriations bill, your opponent in the next election can pick out all the wonderful provisions in the bill–cancer research, childhood vaccinations–and run ads saying that you voted against them. This was a relatively uneventful and boring debate, but that little moment of civic education was worth the price of admission. Paul and Gingrich had nice nights for themselves, which is proof that the farther you are from the prize, the easier it is to debate.louis vuitton replica Mitt Romney had a strong debate too–Santorum’s attacks on RomneyCare and Mitt’s other acts of sanity as Massachusetts governor, which were so effective a few debates ago, have grown old and wilted. ?On the other hand, Romney’s attacks on Santorum are fresh meat. Santorum didn’t even try to explain why he’d voted for the “bridge to nowhere,” another example of the mind-numbing abstruseness of Congressional democracy. If Romney goes on to win the presidency, he should thank his lucky stars that he lost to Ted Kennedy in that 1994 Senate race, thereby saving himself from 18 years of awkward votes.fake louis vuitton shoes A final note: Gingrich and Romney were disgraceful and demagogic on the subject of Iran. Gingrich was earning his Adelson money, obviously, but in the process exposed himself as either uninformed or purposefully misleading. He ranted against Mahmoud Ahmadinejad–as if Ahmadinejad had any power over the Iranian military or nuclear program. He doesn’t.replica chanel shoes The Supreme Leader does. In fact, Ahmadinejad is about to lose much of the remaining, hollow power he has: allies of the Supreme Leader have banned most of Ahmadinejad’s supporters from running for re-election to the Iranian parliament in March. Romney took up the cry against Ahmadinejad–just as John McCain did in 2008. And so you might ask yourself, why do these Republicans insist on turning a guy with no power into–excuse me, Senator Santorum–a major-league Satan? Because most people know that Ahmadinejad is a villain, a holocaust denying anti-Semite.cheap gucci belts He sounds insane. He makes it easier to argue that Iran’s leadership is a fanatic religious death cult. He might make it easier to pry some Jewish voters from their traditional liberal home in the Democratic Party. It certainly makes it easier for Gingrich to pry dollars from people like Sheldon Adelson.fake ugg boots But it is a phony, baseless argument. Iran has one of the worst, oppressive governments in the world–but it is a thinly veiled military dictatorship, not a religious death cult. (Most of the mullahs disdain not only Ahmadinejad, but also the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, who was a decidedly undistinguished minor cleric before he chivvied his way to power.) The leaders of that dictatorship are making careful calculations about whether or not to actually go for a nuclear weapon–and it’s a tough decision: if they build a bomb, they will have deterrence against an Israeli attack and also the grudging respect, and promises of aid, that rogue states like Pakistan and North Korea have gained.louis vuitton speedy But they also run the severe risk of having their economy crushed by the sanctions regime and worse, the possibility of a pre-emptive attack by Israel or the U.S. It is not impossible that the pressure Obama has organized against Iran will force the Supreme Leader to back down. But even if it doesn’t, the facts on the ground do not even vaguely represent the situation as described by Gingrich et al.louis vuitton replica Once again, Ron Paul was right: people like Gingrich, Santorum and Romney are pushing us toward war under false pretenses. They should be ashamed of themselves.
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One of the most damaging moments for Rick Santorum in Wednesday night’s debate came when Mitt Romney reminded Republicans that, in 2004, Santorum had endorsed Arlen Specter, then his fellow GOP Senator from Pennsylvania, in a high-profile primary fight against a more conservative challenger.replica louis vuitton Specter was fighting for his political life against Pat Toomey, and Santorum’s blessing (along with George W. Bush’s) helped to inoculate Specter against Toomey’s charge that he was a contemptible RINO. As Romney cheerfully reminded the audience, Specter went on to win that race, but left the GOP in 2009 and ran for re-election as a Democrat in 2010. He was defeated that fall, but not before he cast a decisive vote for Obama’s health care plan.loui vuitton “If you had not supported him, if we had said, no to Arlen Specter, we would not have Obama Care,” Romney–deflecting an attack on his Massachusetts health care plan–told Santorum. “So don’t look at me. Take a look in the mirror.?? Santorum defended his endorsement primarily on the grounds that Specter had promised him he would use his power as Senate Judiciary Committee chairman to support George W.louis vuitton handbags for sale Bush’s judicial nominees. (MORE:?What You Missed While Not Watching the Arizona GOP Debate) In an interview today, Specter–wry and upbeat despite losing his seat in 2010 (he’s even a stand-up comic now)–chuckled at his debate cameo. “I really think there are more important things to talk about than Arlen Specter,” he said. And he criticized both the squabbling Republicans.replica gucci shoes But he also challenged Santorum’s version of events. On his vote for Obama’s health care reform bill, Specter offered no apology. “If Romney wants to make me responsible for ObamaCare, I??ve said I would be proud to be responsible for it,” he said. And on Santorum’s contention that he’d promised to support Bush nominees, Specter said he’d never made such an assurance: “I never made any deals with Santorum about supporting — any blanket commitment to support Bush judges.louis vuitton outlet online I said that I would not apply a litmus test on pro choice, pro-life.” (Social conservatives never fully trusted Specter because of his own pro-choice position, though he did support many pro-life judges.) Specter spoke positively of Santorum overall, saying that the two worked well together on local issues. He did note that Santorum’s conservative positions, while “very sincere,” are “reflected in [his] 18-point loss in Pennsylvania” in 2006.fake louis vuitton Specter also contended that? Santorum’s 2004 endorsement wasn’t necessarily the conservative heresy Romney makes it out to be.? “He supported me in 2004, but so did Bush. So did a lot of people. And when the crunch time came it was Bush??s commercial I used in the clutch–not Santorum’s.handbags louis vuitton” That’s an interesting nuance to the tale. Just bon’t hold your breath waiting for Romney to clarify the point.
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On Thursday, Pew released some timely data on three major federal undertakings that defined the beginning of President Barack Obama’s first term: the bank bailout, passed under George W.louis vuitton handbags for sale Bush just before Obama took office; the stimulus plan, Obama’s flagship economic initiative; and the 2009 rescue package for the big three U.S. automakers, which the President is highlighting in ads this week. The numbers illustrate both why Obama has chosen the auto bailout to make his case for re-election, and why Mitt Romney continues to talk about his own vociferous opposition to the policy.fake gucci shoes If that sounds like a contradiction, that’s because it is. Such is the nature of the American public’s view of government. The Pew survey found unwavering distaste for the Troubled Asset Relief Program, which 52% of Americans see as “wrong,” almost exactly where it stood a year ago. Approval for the Recovery Act hasn’t moved either, though fewer Americans now have a negative impression of it, and the nation remains split on the merits of the stimulus plan, 37% in favor, 41% opposed.louis vuitton shoes replica However, a 56% majority, including 44% of Republicans, now say the auto bailout was “mostly good for the economy,” up 19 percentage points since October 2009. And that’s the kind of good will Obama is trading off in Michigan. But in polling, how a question is framed matters quite a bit. Gallup this week approached the auto rescue issue in a different way and found that 51% of Americans “disapproved” of the bailout.replica chanel shoes It may be counter-intuitive, but this figure does not refute Pew’s findings. People can simultaneously recognize a policy’s positive impact and frown upon its principles. Despite divided opinion on whether the stimulus plan was worthy of approval, 61% of Americans, including a third of Republicans, in the Pew survey said it was mostly good for the economy, an even better number than the auto bailout. So what gives? Why do people disapprove of policies they may think are effective and how does Romney see his position as an asset? The answer in Pew’s data is that many Americans remain opposed in abstract to the very idea of government intervention.fake ugg boots A full two-thirds of respondents said the federal government has a negative effect overall. By a 52% to 40% margin, they also said that government regulation of business “usually does more harm than good.” (MORE: Will The Auto-Bailout Factor in Michigan?) It’s this philosophy that Romney can build his argument on. ??The idea that the government continues to hold shares in General Motors and calls the shots there is not consistent with American free enterprise,?? Romney told a Detroit radio station on Thursday.gucci outlet online ??We need to get the government out of these companies?? hair and let them go to work to become competitive??not only in the U.S. but globally.” Romney may be having his cake and eating it too in this case??he backed TARP and said in Wednesday’s debate that ??no way would we allow the auto industry in America to totally implode and disappear????but Republicans have a strong case to make against regulation and intervention in the next election.louis vuitton handbags for sale That is, as long as they steer clear of most specifics. Just as Americans have a negative opinion of Obama’s health care overhaul as a monolith while liking many of its individuals pieces, specifics are where the appeal of a hands-off bureaucracy begins to break down. When Pew asked what should become of regulations on everything from food production to prescription drugs, very few Americans (no more than 20% on any issue) actually called for a reduction. Pluralities favored strengthening regulations in most cases.louis vuitton shoes replica Public opinion polling, especially on policy, is shot through with these kinds of contradictions. And they’re something that Obama and his opponent will have to navigate carefully this year. After all,?USA Today/Gallup? found that 50% of Americans see the President’s tenure as a failure… the same percentage that rates him favorably.
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Las Vegas may be the American capital of gambling, but the odds aren’t very exciting in Saturday??s Nevada Republican caucuses: Election stat guru Nate Silver projects a 100% chance that Mitt Romney will win again, dispatching Newt Gingrich, Rick Santorum and Ron Paul, while solidifying Romney’s status as the near-certain Republican nominee.chanel outlet Yes, there are caveats. Very few actual delegates have been awarded. Super PACs mean that an Sheldon Adelson here and a Foster Friess there can help keep Romney??s rivals afloat for a while longer. And Romney keeps making comments borrowed from the script of a Dickens villain.replica louis vuitton Still, the primary circus is getting ready to leave town. Romney must be feeling good about his path thus far. It wasn’t always smooth. But overall Romney designed and executed an impressive, corporate-style campaign plan that overcame some massive structural weaknesses, like his past moderation on social issues and the fact that his Massachusetts health care plan closely resembles Obama’s version.ugg boots outlet He established himself in early 2011 as the presumptive front-runner by methodically raising cash, building a crack campaign team, and sharpening his own speaking and debate skills. When some political analysts assumed the Tea Party would disembowel him with his health care record, Romney mounted an articulate and confident defense that parried the attacks well enough. His defense also averted a new flip-flop that would reignite the narrative that he abandons any politically unprofitable position. And all that preparation–not to mention, let’s be honest, the blessing of some inept and self-destructive primary rivals–will be on display when Nevada hands him a near-certain victory on Saturday.replica chanel shoes But even as Romney may be exhaling in relief over what looks like a winning primary campaign, he might be developing new ulcers over the trend lines that are shaping his presumed matchup with Barack Obama in the fall. Here are three of them: Romney has grown less popular. Some Republicans put a sunny face on the past few weeks of bitter campaigning, saying that it will leave Romney nominee tougher and more-battle tested. But the polls don??t show that.louis vuitton replica They show that he has become steadily less popular, and his unfavorability rating among independent voters had shot up 20 points between late November and late January. Nor does the primary drama seem to have energized the party??s base, as it did during the epic 2008 fight between Obama and Hillary Clinton. GOP turnout has been below 2010 levels in three of the four contests so far. The exception was South Carolina, the one primary that Gingrich won.fake louis vuitton shoes That tells you something about the party base??s enthusiasm for Romney. Obama has become more popular. The President??s?erratic approval ratings still resemble the medical chart of a sick patient. But the patient is on the mend: In the summer and fall of last year, Obama??s Gallup approval rating sunk into the dismal high 30s, with his disapproval reaching the mid-50s.chanel outlet Those are not re-election numbers; indeed they??re only slightly better than Jimmy Carter’s when he finished his star-crossed presidency. As Ron Brownstein explains in this great survey of the 2012 swing state landscape, Obama is still probably just on the edge of having a plausible re-election path??thanks in part to the aforementioned popularity problems facing Romney and the Republican Party in general. If Obama??s standing rises even a little, that path starts to grow much easier. Which leads us to the next bit of bad news for Romney: The economy is growing.louis vuitton replica Friday??s surprisingly bright job numbers were great news for Americans looking for work. They were bad news, politically speaking, for Romney??s prospects in November. Republicans face the painful dilemma of an economy whose improvement is bad for their prospects in 2012. A candidate like Romney obviously has to deny this.fake ugg boots But it??s hardly a secret. At a Rick Santorum campaign event in Greenville, South Carolina, last month, a conservative pastor from the area confessed to me that he was ??worried the economy will pick up and the jobs will come back and it??s going to be hard to beat Obama?? in the fall. My colleague Michael Scherer recently explained? just what growth and income numbers political scientists believe will make the difference, and we??re not there yet. But none of this means that Romney is a major underdog.louis vuitton handbags for sale He still starts from a strong position for a challenger to an incumbent President, with the Real Clear Politics average showing that he trails Obama by less than two points in a head-to-head polling matchup. A recent USA Today/Gallup survey found Romney tied with Obama. And just as Obama??s numbers appear likely to improve, so could Romney??s. Unless Gingrich ties on his kamikaze headband and steers his Mitsubishi Ki-15? straight at Romney??s hull, odds are good that Mitt can repair his own image.replica louis vuitton A slower primary tempo will mean Romney can spend less time in media interviews where he’s often tripped himself up. He can run more ads promoting himself rather than attacking Gingrich. And who knows what events may yet scramble the presidential race? A year ago, Osama bin Laden was alive, Muammar Gaddafi was still giving nutty speeches at the U.N.louis vuitton shoes replica, and Fukushima was just another town in northern Japan. The European financial crisis may yet trigger a global economic meltdown and war could break out in the Middle East. Anything can happen. But although Mitt Romney will likely take another step towards the nomination in Nevada on Saturday, he may be wondering whether Barack Obama is still one step ahead of him.louis vuitton handbags for sale
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Mitt Romney won the Nevada caucuses by a wide margin on Saturday night, quickening the front runner’s pace toward the Republican presidential nomination.replica chanel shoes The victory, his second blowout in a week, set the tone for the quiet month ahead in which only two more major contests are scheduled: primaries in Arizona and Michigan on the 28th. As the race enters a lull, Romney is in control. With 43% of precincts reporting, the former Massachusetts governor claimed 43% of the vote, dominating almost all demographic groups, according to entrance polls, including more than 90% of Mormon voters, who make up roughly a quarter of the electorate. Newt Gingrich placed second with 26% of overall votes, while Ron Paul followed at 18% and Rick Santorum finished last with 13%.fake chanel shoes (PHOTOS: Political Pictures of the Week) The result was a blow to Gingrich, still reeling from his defeat in Florida less than a week ago, and Paul, who skipped the winner-take-all Sunshine State primary to try to forge coalitions in caucus states like Nevada. Nonetheless, both candidates plan to stay in the race, a fact of which Gingrich felt the need to remind reporters multiple times during his sober, hoarse press availability Saturday night. ??I am a candidate for President of the United States. I will be a candidate for the President of the United States.fake uggs?? Gingrich said between shots at Romney. (He twice mentioned Romney’s recent comments about ??the very poor.??) ??We will continue with the campaign all the way to Tampa,?? where the GOP will hold its convention in August. The loss came at the same time as another piece of stinging news for Gingrich: Sheldon Adelson, the deep-pocketed Las Vegas benefactor of Gingrich’s super political action committee, has reportedly reached out to Romney’s campaign to communicate his willingness to support Romney should he become the nominee.gucci outlet online That doesn’t mean Adelson is turning off the faucet for Gingrich, who said he’s unconcerned by the gesture, but the signal is clear: everyone, even his opponent’s financiers, is getting accustomed to the idea of Romney as the nominee. (MORE:?Romney Set to Advance in Nevada, but Is He Falling Behind Obama?) Romney’s remaining test is to consolidate his base and mitigate damage to his popularity as he emerges from the GOP field. After a loss to Gingrich in South Carolina necessitated a detour attacking the former Speaker in Florida, Romney has returned to form, slashing Obama to ribbons while mostly ignoring his Republican rivals. His victory speech on Saturday night was no exception, a formulaic affair with virtually no mention of the GOP race and only one new anti-Obama zinger added to the familiar repertoire: “He began his term by apologizing for America.handbags louis vuitton He should now be apologizing to America,” Romney told the boisterous Vegas crowd. Romney focused so much on Obama, in fact, it was easy to lose sight of his Nevada victory. The candidate made only one mention of it at the beginning of his speech. ??This was not the first time you gave me your vote of confidence,?? Romney said, referring to his similarly commanding victory in the state four years ago.louis vuitton belts ??And this time, we’re going to take it all the way to the White House.?? After Saturday night, he’s that much closer.
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Mitt Romney stammered on Monday night when debate moderators asked him whether he’d release his tax returns.replica gucci shoes? “I hadn??t planned on releasing tax records, because the law requires us to release all of our assets, all the things we own. That I have already released. It??s a pretty full disclosure,” he said. “But, you know, if that??s been the tradition, and I??m not opposed to doing that, time will tell.fake uggs But I anticipate that most likely I am going to get asked to do that around the April time period, and I??ll keep that open.?? It wasn’t actually an answer–he’s already been asked–and worse yet, it was much more awkward than Romney’s usual Pomade pivot from unwelcome questions. On Tuesday he gritted his teeth and gave an answer that shed more light on his reluctance. “What??s the effective rate I??ve been paying?” he said when prompted by reporters in South Carolina.fake ugg boots “It??s probably closer to the 15 percent rate than anything because my last 10 years, my income comes overwhelmingly from some investments….” The answer confirmed Michael Scherer’s guestimation in early October: Because of capital gains, Romney pays a tax rate that’s much lower than what most U.S. wage earners will ever enjoy.replica louis vuitton (PHOTOS: The Rich History of Mitt Romney) Romney might have hoped to delay his tax disclosures until April to soften the political impact–the nomination race will be wrapped up by then and the general election won’t yet be in full swing. (He may have also been? shooting to release 2011 records, not prior years, which wouldn’t be ready until tax day.) But whenever it came out, it was bound to shape the race. For Democrats, this is the perfect campaign issue.replica chanel shoes It lies at the intersection of the personal, professional and political identities they plan to foist on Romney in the general election: the privilege they hope will make it hard for voters to relate to Romney, the erstwhile career in private equity that they hope will taint him as a economic predator rather than a turnaround artist, and the regressive tax policies they hope can drive a wedge between the Republican party and the middle class. The Democratic machine is in high dudgeon. Back in October, Priorities USA Action, a super PAC run by a former Obama aide, seized on Scherer’s story and cut an ad twisting the so-called Buffett Rule–named for the legendary Omaha investor’s famous observation that he pays a lower tax rate than his secretary–into the Romney Rule, trying to hit all three points: out-of-touch, corporate, unfair. They brought the video back in the wake of Romney’s remarks.fake uggs Even GOP rival Newt Gingrich, ever bitter about Romney’s success, got in a lick. “Since my flat tax is 15 percent, I’m thrilled at the idea, I assume this afternoon he will endorse my flat tax proposal and have every American pay the rate he paid,” he said Tuesday. “I think that would be terrific.” The tax rate issue also serves as a direct tie-in to the debate over practices at Bain Capital, and not just during Romney’s tenure.fake louis vuitton As the New York Times explained last month, Romney didn’t just amass his wealth there in the ’90s. Much of his investment income, on which he continues to pay a low rate, flows from Bain’s deals: Though Mr. Romney left Bain in early 1999, he received a share of the corporate buyout and investment profits enjoyed by partners from all Bain deals through February 2009: four global buyout funds and 18 other funds, more than twice as many over all as Mr. Romney had a share of the year he left.louis vuitton handbags for sale He was also given the right to invest his own money alongside his former partners. Because some of the funds and deals covered by Mr. Romney??s agreement will not fully wind down for several years, Mr. Romney is still entitled to a share of some of Bain??s profits.fake uggs All of this plays into Romney’s weakest area. Even when he’s making sense, he often has a tin ear when it comes to wealth and corporatism. (In discussing his financial disclosures Tuesday, he referred to hundreds of thousands of dollars he’s earned in speaking fees as “not very much.”) But he’s not deaf to the tax rate issue, and his defense is right there in his campaign’s economic plan: While most of the GOP candidates want to zero out the capital gains rate, Romney would only lower it for families making $200,000 or less.louis vuitton belts In other words, he wouldn’t lower his own taxes. But the rate he pays is already really low. And now that Romney’s put it out there, Democrats won’t let anyone forget it.
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Ben Bernanke is playing chicken with the real economy.fake uggs By most measures, the U.S. economy in the past few months seems to be improving. The unemployment rate has been falling.louis vuitton outlet online Manufacturing appears to be perking up. U.S. car companies are back in business.louis vuitton belts And home sales even rose in December. (LIST: The Heavy Hitters of Davos) Yet, on Wednesday, the U.S. central bank said it plans to keep short-term interest rates near zero until at least late 2014.louis vuitton replica That is 18 months longer than its previous promise of mid-2013. Low interest rates usually indicate the economy is weak. So a promise to keep interest rates low for another two and a half years, suggests that the Fed thinks the economy will be in pretty bad shape for, well, about another two and a half years. Or maybe not.gucci outlet online When Bernanke was pressed at the news conference following the Fed’s interest-rate announcement on why it chose late 2014 and not, say, 2015 or 2020 ???after all, the Fed’s own prediction was that unemployment would still be at a high 7.5% in late 2014 ???Bernanke didn’t have a good answer. He said the Fed’s ability to “forecast three or four years out is not very good.” But we didn’t need Bernanke to tell us that.louis vuitton outlet online We all know now how poor the Fed’s ability to predict the economy is. Recently released documents from Fed meetings back in 2007 show that almost none of the Fed’s policymakers thought we were headed for a recession at the time. So why do it? Like many other things the Fed does, to help the markets. Promising low interest rates should help goose the stock and bond markets, and it did this time around as well.handbags louis vuitton Shortly after the Fed made its announcement, both stocks and bonds rose. The question is whether it will have the opposite effect on the real economy. (More: Why Economists Are Rooting for Inflation) In a regular recession, lower interest rates cause people to borrow money to buy houses or start new businesses. In a really bad recession, like this one, that economic jump-start mechanism breaks down.louis vuitton handbags for sale People are too scared to take risks. Companies look for signs that the economy is back on the upswing before borrowing to expand. Confidence, not interest rates, is the real problem. That’s why some people have been worried for a while about the signaling effect of keeping interest rates at zero.chanel outlet They are worried that the Fed is undermining confidence in the recovery. And even if they are not worried about the recovery, knowing interest rates will remain low may cause people to put off purchases. For instance, if you know interest rates are going to be low for another two years, why jump into the housing market now, when prices might still fall. But if you are afraid that interest rates will rise soon, you might be more likely to buy a house now in order to get a better deal on the loan.louis vuitton replica Bernanke’s critics say raising interest rates even a little bit would do more to help confidence than keeping interest rates low for another two years or more. Interest rates have been near zero for some time now. Anyone who wants to borrow has had their chance. The problem is, with short-term interest rates already at zero, the Fed doesn’t have many options.chanel outlet So it is engaging in this weird dance of talking down the economy in order to boost the markets, hoping that the market will in turn boost the economy. It only works if the people in the real economy believe the market more than they believe the Fed. And I’m not sure that’s a great bet. My experience with bull markets is that the general public doesn’t notice them until they are well under way.gucci handbag for sale (More: Could the Fed Spark the Housing Market?) There is another option for Bernanke, and that is for the Fed to once again use the government’s money to buy U.S. Treasury and mortgage bonds to directly drive down rates. This would also signal that the Fed thinks the economy is weak, but it would do so without an exact date.fake ugg boots The problem with that is, the Fed came under massive criticism for its last round of bond buying. After all, taking the government’s money to buy up our own debt seems like financial alchemy. He was called the most inflationary Fed chief ever and a traitor by various GOP presidential candidates. But if Bernanke really wants to boost the economy, he will have to do things that will be unpopular, or more of them.loui vuitton When Paul Volcker raised interest rates to crush inflation, he was widely denounced. Now he is considered a monetary god. If Bernanke wants to be known as the guy who saved the economy, and not just avoided a depression, more bold steps will be needed.
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The Romney campaign has another very effective press release, excerpting an article that Elliott Abrams, the former Reagan Assistant Secretary of State For Trading Arms for Hostages, has written about Newt Gingrich’s criticisms of Ronald Reagan’s foreign policy.gucci handbag for sale It will come as no great surprise that Gingrich was impatient with Reagan for not obliterating the Soviet Union more quickly. Some excerpts and an additional observation below the fold: Here is Gingrich: ??Measured against the scale and momentum of the Soviet empire??s challenge, the Reagan administration has failed, is failing, and without a dramatic change in strategy will continue to fail. . .handbags louis vuitton . President Reagan is clearly failing. ??/strong> Such was Gingrich??s faith in President Reagan that in 1985, he called Reagan??s meeting with Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev ??the most dangerous summit for the West since Adolf Hitler met with Neville Chamberlain in 1938 in Munich.?? ??/strong> In Afghanistan, Reagan??s policy was marked by ??impotence [and] incompetence.louis vuitton handbags for sale?? Thus Gingrich concluded as he surveyed five years of Reagan in power that ??we have been losing the struggle with the Soviet empire.?? Reagan did not know what he was doing, and ??it is precisely at the vision and strategy levels that the Soviet empire today is superior to the free world.?? ??/strong> The second point to make is that Gingrich made these assaults on the Reagan administration just as Democratic attacks were heating up unmercifully. Far from becoming a reliable voice for Reagan policy and the struggle against the Soviets, Gingrich took on Reagan and his administration.gucci outlet online It appears to be a habit: He did the same to George W. Bush when Bush was making the toughest and most controversial decision of his presidency ?? the surge in Iraq. ??/strong> Bush on the surge and Reagan on the Soviet empire were tough, courageous ?? and right. Newt Gingrich in retrospect seems less the visionary than the politician who refused the party??s leader loyal support on grounds that history has proved were simply wrong.louis vuitton handbags for sale Sure sounds like good old imperious, peremptory, impatient Newt Gingrich to me. But it’s funny, Newt also sounds like imperious, impatient, neoconservative Elliott Abrams to me–and like Newt himself–when it comes to Barack Obama’s policy toward Iran. Abrams is also another of those, like Mitt Romney, who incorrectly describes Obama’s Middle East policy as a “return to the 1967 borders” without adding “with mutually agreed upon land swaps.” I saw him Abrams do that, and be corrected, at the AIPAC convention last spring.louis vuitton replica And while Abrams has fired a direct torpedo at Gingrich’s Reagan fetishism, it should be noted that the gunner and target share an entirely dangerous, and sometimes illegal, penchant for warmongering.
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In the new issue of TIME, David Von Drehle writes about the current state of the Republican race, collecting wisdom from Jeb Bush, among others, and capturing the oddities of the two-man top-tier that’s emerged in Florida.loui vuitton It’s a fun and smart piece, especially so in describing Mitt Romney’s unlikely foil: The Gingrich campaign has been a nonstop, three-dimensional, multimedia “If by whiskey” speech. If when you say Washington insider you mean the bad guys who are ruining the country, he’s against them, but if you mean former Speakers of the House who make millions on K Street, live in McLean, Va., and spend lavishly at Tiffany, then he is one. If by the media you mean the folks Gingrich joshes freely with during late-night sessions in hotel bars, he’s a big fan, but if you mean the people who ask unwelcome questions with millions of people watching, he’s definitely opposed.louis vuitton belts … If by Saul Alinsky you mean the late Chicago community organizer who influenced Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton, Gingrich promises to save us from his schemes. But if you mean the man who wrote that political-change agents “must first rub raw the resentments of the people of the community and fan the latent hostilities,” then you are speaking of Gingrich’s tactical twin. If by Freddie Mac you mean the cause of the financial collapse, he’s on the case, but if you mean his $25,000-per-month client, he’s a big fan. If by France you mean that sickly country where socialism runs rampant, God forbid we catch that infection, but if by France you mean a culture where a man’s wife and his mistress can sit down for a nice cup of coffee together, hey, maybe they’re onto something.fake louis vuitton In the same issue, Weekly Standard senior editor Andrew Ferguson describes the many stylistic sides of Gingrich: Often the grandiosity has an alchemical effect, and when it does, a new Newt will appear–menacingly. Cocky Newt in December gave way briefly to Aimless Newt as his poll numbers fell, leading to brief flashes of Resentful Newt. Inevitably, Angry Newt emerged when John King, the moderator of the CNN debate on Jan. 19, asked about one of the early Gingrich marriages.ugg boots outlet “To take an ex-wife,” he replied, now famously, “and make it [sic; her name is Marianne] two days before the primary a significant question in a presidential campaign is as close to despicable as anything I can imagine.” Both pieces are well worth the click, and you can read them in full at the newsstand, on the iPad or in the all-access section of Time.com.
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Thursday’s Boston Globe explains how the pro-Newt Gingrich forces have suddenly leveled the advertising playing field in Florida, where Mitt Romney’s camp has been spending big for weeks.louis vuitton replica That of course is largely thanks to Gingrich’s patron saint, the billionaire Las Vegas casino mogul Sheldon Adelson, who has just written his second $5 million check to the pro-Gingrich Super PAC Winning Our Future. (Actually, the check came from Adelson’s wife, Miriam.) Adelson’s last $5 million injection probably enabled Gingrich to beat Romney in South Carolina, and he’s now given Newt a fighting chance to deal Mitt a potentially lethal blow in Florida. To learn more about Sheldon Adelson, the eighth-richest man in America, you can read my story in the new print edition, now online here.cheap gucci beltsFor now, I’d like to put Adelson in the context of the campaign finance system. Jon Chait argues that the Adelson-Gingrich axis was made possible by the Supreme Court’s 2010 Citizens United campaign finance ruling. But I’m not sure that’s true. Citizens did not declare, for the first time, that a rich guy like Adelson can give unlimited amounts to cash to a political group that savages one candidate on another’s behalf.fake uggs Big donors have had that ability for a while. In the 2000 GOP primaries, for instance, the billionaire Wyly brothers of Texas sponsored a $2.5 million ad campaign by a front group called “Republicans for Clean Air” that attacked John McCain’s environmental record. General elections have produced plenty of better-known examples, including 2004′s anti-John Kerry Swift Boat Veterans for Truth (funded in part by the Wyly brothers) and the George Soros-backed Media Fund, which hammered at George W.louis vuitton backpack for sale Bush. So what’s the difference between, say, Republicans for Clean Air and the Adelson-funded Winning Our Future? It’s pretty subtle. Before the Citizens ruling, an independent political group funded by unlimited donations like Adelson’s could not explicitly urge people to vote for or against a candidate. It had could engage only in “issue” advocacy, ostensibly to educate voters.louis vuitton speedy Hence Republicans for Clean Air simply blasted McCain’s record without making a “vote for” appeal. But obviously the political damage will be done regardless. The difference now, after the Citizens ruling, is that Winning Our Future can say whatever it wants, including “make sure you go out and vote for Newt Gingrich and not Mitt Romney.” It’s not an entirely trivial distinction; but for a potential donor, it hardly seems decisive.gucci handbag for sale So why has spending for outside groups skyrocketed?? It’s hard to be sure. Some people argue that Citizens‘ main effect may have been to provide a level of psychological comfort to donors like Adelson, creating a sense of diminished legal jeopardy (there was always the concern that regulators might deem “issue” advertising to cross the line into explicit advocacy) and generally giving a green light to a freer flow of campaign money. But, certainly, the very rich have long played a big role in the process. That’s why the 2002 McCain-Feingold campaign finance reform law, which banned unlimited “soft money” donations to the Republican and Democratic national parties, which were often solicited directly by elected officials, including the President himself.handbags louis vuitton (Remember Johnny Chung?) You can make the argument that it’s better to prevent candidates and elected officials from asking people for multi-million dollar donations. On the other hand, does Newt Gingrich feel any less indebted to Adelson than if he’d solicited those two $5 million checks directly? I touched on this topic with former Bush White House spokesman Ari Fleischer when I spoke with him for my story on Adelson, with whom Fleischer has worked. “Citizens United is not what created super PACs. Campaign finance reform created them,” Fleischer argued.louis vuitton handbags for sale The only difference between this year’s super PACs and outside groups, including Freedom’s Watch, an Adelson-funded outfit that Fleischer worked for, is that ability to make explicit “elect or defeat” appeals. “Campaign finance reform took soft money away from the political parties and in so doing stripped responsibility from those who could have been held to account,” Fleischer says. All that said, Adelson’s support for Gingrich is really unprecedented. I don’t believe we’ve ever seen a federal candidate who drew such a high proportion of his funding from a single donor.fake ugg boots Adelson’s support is all the more unusual because the Vegas mogul swooped in to help his friend after Newt had been written off as a loser after his Iowa collapse; betting on Newt in early January, as Adelson did, seemed like putting your chips on green at the roulette table. Still, you can also see Adelson’s support for Newt as the latest twist on a familiar story about the influence very rich people can exert on presidential politics–a story that gets updated and revised from time to time, but which, on some level, never really changes.
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The heavyweight tussle in Florida is quickly devolving into a very expensive slap fight.louis vuitton outlet online On one side is Mitt Romney, whose aides, having spent days tagging Newt Gingrich with labels like “erratic” and unreliable,” are now upping the ante by recasting Gingrich as a full-on crazy person. “UNHINGED!” read a Romney press release Thursday afternoon. The money quote, from Romney communications director Gail Gitcho, by way of lampooning Gingrich’s lunar aspirations and attacks on Bain: “Wow.” A half hour later, Romney’s team blasted out a missive from Bob Dole that, apropos of nothing in particular, recalls Gingrich’s alleged habit of showing up at Dole’s presidential campaign headquarters in 1996 toting an empty ice bucket.cheap gucci belts “That was a symbol of some sort for him??and I never did know what he was doing or why he was doing it,” writes Dole, who has endorsed Romney. Why, the man must be unhinged!? (MORE:?Major League Primary: Why Florida Is the Big Show of the GOP Race) Amusing stuff. But Gingrich’s line of attack is potentially more damaging. The conventional wisdom, at least among the genteel GOPers for whom unfettered capitalism is an ideal on par with Reaganism, is that Gingrich discredited his claims to the conservative tradition by attacking Romney’s work at Bain.louis vuitton outlet online Maybe so, although it didn’t seem to inflict much damage in South Carolina. Either way Gingrich has doubled down. At a Tea Party rally in Mt. Dora, Fla.fake uggs, this morning, Gingrich blistered Romney for hypocrisy in a sentence loaded with scare words: “We’re not going to beat Barack Obama with some guy who has Swiss bank accounts, Cayman Island accounts, owns shares in Goldman Sachs while it forecloses on Florida, and is himself a shareholder in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac while he thinks the rest of us are too stupid to put the dots together.” Never mind that Romney no longer has a Swiss account, or that Romney’s holdings in the Caymans are in Bain investments taxed at the same rate as they would be in the U.S., according to his advisers and some independent tax experts.gucci handbag for sale Swiss bank accounts, the Caymans, Goldman Sachs — these are all coded terms designed to tag Romney as a cheater, the kind of Wall Street bigwig who exploits a crooked economic system where the little guy gets screwed. You’re not “too stupid” to let him get away with it, are you? (PHOTOS:?Political Pictures of the Week) Romney’s campaign has harnessed these sorts of attacks to argue Gingrich is waging class warfare, using the “language of the left” to smear the scriptures of conservatism. Their argument has won favor among conservative pundits — who Gingrich long ago gave up trying to sway, knowing his path to the nomination hinges on an ability to reinvent himself as a populist scourge. But regardless of who wins the nomination, Democrats are betting that the Republican nominee will be weakened by this increasingly nasty brawl.louis vuitton handbags for sale As Dan Balz reports, Obama officials believe the damage to Romney could be “real and potentially long lasting, in part because it reinforces questions voters may already have had about Romney.???I think it??s likely to stick because it isn??t an isolated episode,?? [an Obama adviser] said. ??It??s a pattern. At a certain point in the pattern, it gets ingrained.loui vuitton?? The Obama re-election campaign, the super PAC supporting it and allied progressive groups have, in fact, been working for months to highlight this pattern. To see the attacks revivified by a fellow Republican builds on and revivifies it. If Romney wins the nomination, we can expect to see lots more ads like this one, from the liberal group Americans United for Change, which has produced a series of spots that envision the greedy Gordon Gekko filling out the Romney ticket: “Welcome to the Cayman Islands, Home of Mitt’s Millions.” Back in Chicago, Team Obama will be toasting Gingrich over a couple of Coronas.louis vuitton backpack for sale
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0 minutes.ugg boots outlet ??Only one thing is certain,?? CNN??s opening montage declares. ??Expect the unexpected.?? That hits the spot. We need false hope at a time like this.gucci handbag for sale It??s the 19th Republican debate. Everything that can happen probably already has. The screen flickers with a Romney video clip from the campaign trail. ??We??re not choosing a talk-show host,?? he says.gucci outlet online This will need to be fact-checked. 3 minutes. Wolf Blitzer. Facebook.ugg boots outlet Twitter. You know the drill. 4 minutes. Candidates on the catwalk.fake louis vuitton They walk out like they have done before. Nothing changes. They shake hands, then stand for the national anthem, sung by the local college??s chamber singers, who have dressed for the occasion like Puritan flight attendants. They sing well, which is totally unexpected.replica louis vuitton Santorum and Romney sing along. Gingrich, Paul and Callista Gingrich, who is seen in a crowd shot, keep their mouths closed. Will have to keep an eye on them. You never know.fake ugg boots 7 minutes. More Blitzer, who repeats the rules we have heard 18 times before. Then he asks the candidates to introduce themselves. (MORE:?Major League Primary: Why Florida Is the Big Show of the GOP Race) 8 minutes.gucci outlet online Santorum introduces himself by introducing his 93-year-old mother, who could easily pass for 81, in the audience and makes everyone feel good. She stands, Santorum smiles with pride, and the crowd cheers wildly. ??I??d better just stop right there,?? Santorum says. Yes, he should.louis vuitton backpack for sale He should also pick Mom for Vice President. 9 minutes. More of the expected. Gingrich says he is from neighboring Georgia.ugg boots outlet Romney says he has 16 grandkids. Paul says he champions ??a sound monetary system,?? which really has nothing to do with expensive acoustics, though don??t tell his college-age voters. The dude is totally rad. 10 minutes.louis vuitton outlet online First question on immigration. This is totally unexpected. Immigration is usually asked at the end of the debate. Crazy.louis vuitton replica To allay the shock, the candidates give answers that are no different. Everyone onstage likes laws, wants to seal the borders and embraces legal immigration. There are requisite mentions of American Express and MasterCard handling identification cards. 14 minutes.louis vuitton backpack for sale ??I don’t think anyone is interested in going around and rounding up people around the country and deporting 11 million Americans,?? says Romney. Oops. He recovers quickly: ??Or, excuse me, 11 million illegal immigrants into America.?? Paul follows up by saying he would end U.louis vuitton neverfullS. military involvement on the Afghan border to pay for more guards on the Mexican border. 16 minutes. Blitzer asks Gingrich why he called Romney the ??most anti-immigrant candidate?? in a recent ad.fake uggs ??Because, in the original conversations about deportation, the position I took, which he attacked pretty ferociously, was that grandmothers and grandfathers aren’t going to be successfully deported,?? Gingrich says. This is a backhanded way of accusing Romney of wanting to deport Santorum??s sweet mother, if she had no papers. (PHOTOS:?Political Pictures of the Week) 19 minutes. Romney, who has been giving Gingrich the evil eye, pounces.fake uggs ??That’s simply unexcusable. That’s inexcusable,?? Romney says, flip-flopping un for in in three words. ??Mr. Speaker, I’m not anti-immigrant.louis vuitton handbags for sale My father was born in Mexico. My wife’s father was born in Wales. They came to this country. The idea that I’m anti-immigrant is repulsive.fake ugg boots?? It??s the first time in 19 debates that someone has used the word repulsive. Unexpected and about time. Romney goes on to say he is not going to round up grandmothers. He is just going to deny them employment and hope they leave the country.chanel outlet 20 minutes. Gingrich says he would like Romney to ??self-describe?? himself, if he is not anti-immigrant, for wanting to expel grandmothers. Romney, in full alpha-dog mode, is off again. ??There are grandmothers that live on the other side of the border that are waiting to come here legally.chanel outlet I want them to come here too, not just those that are already here,?? Romney says. So he is not anti-Grandma; he just favors some over others. More Grandma back and forth follows. 21 minutes.chanel handbags for sale Blitzer asks Romney about an ad he is running that says Gingrich called Spanish “the language of the ghetto.” ??I haven’t seen the ad, so I’m sorry. I don’t get to see all the TV ads,?? Romney replies. Later Romney adds, ??I doubt that’s my ad, but we’ll take a look and find out.gucci handbag for sale?? It is Romney??s ad ?? a Spanish-language radio spot. Gingrich said it, in a discussion about the importance of learning English, and later admitted that he chose his words poorly. 23 minutes. A question about the influence of China in Latin America.louis vuitton replica Paul calls for more free trade. Santorum warns of radical Islam in Venezuela and promises to be more involved in the continent as President. Paul and Santorum squabble about the proper reach of U.S.louis vuitton backpack for sale foreign policy. (MORE:?On Crazy People, the Cayman Islands and Why Democrats Are Taking Notes) 29 minutes. During the squabble, Blitzer double-checks the origin of the Romney ad. ??It was one of your ads.gucci handbag for sale It’s running here in Florida on the radio. And at the end you say, ??I’m Mitt Romney, and I approved this ad.????? Romney has no response. ??Let me ask the Speaker a question.louis vuitton handbags for sale Did you say what the ad says or not? I don’t know,?? he says instead. ??It’s taken totally out of context,?? protests Gingrich. ??Oh, O.K.louis vuitton handbags for sale, he said it,?? Romney concludes, misrepresenting what Gingrich just said to prove that he had not previously misrepresented something Gingrich once said. 30 minutes. Moving on to housing. How do you get Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae out of housing? Romney attacks Gingrich for once working as a political consultant for Freddie Mac.fake uggs ??We should have had a whistle-blower and not a horn tooter,?? says Romney. Romney never uses bad words. Maybe this is why tooter sounds so naughty. 31 minutes.cheap gucci belts Gingrich responds by attacking Romney for holding stock in Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae as well as investing in Goldman Sachs, ??which is today foreclosing on Floridians.?? Romney shoots back that most of those investments were in mutual funds controlled by a blind trust. Back in 1994, Romney argued that blind trusts were not really blind, since politicians could still direct the investments. But never mind that now.loui vuitton Because Romney afterward says, ??And Mr. Speaker, I know that sounds like an enormous revelation, but have you checked your own investments??? Apparently Gingrich also owned stock in Fannie and Freddie. Gingrich says, ??Right,?? thereby admitting his whole attack was a giant exercise in hypocrisy. 34 minutes.louis vuitton outlet online Gingrich finds his comeback. ??To compare my investments with his is like comparing a tiny mouse with a giant elephant,?? Gingrich says. Never before has elephant been used as an insult in a Republican debate. Unexpected.gucci outlet online (MORE: TIME/CNN Florida Poll) 35 minutes. Paul is asked to comment. ??That subject really doesn’t interest me a whole lot,?? he says, to applause. Got to love that guy.louis vuitton handbags for sale He goes on to blame the housing bubble on the Federal Reserve. 36 minutes. Santorum chastises Blitzer for focusing on these issues. ??Can we set aside that Newt was a member of Congress and used the skills that he developed as a member of Congress to go out and advise companies ?? and that’s not the worst thing in the world ?? and that Mitt Romney is a wealthy guy because he worked hard and he’s going out and working hard??? he asks.louis vuitton handbags for sale Not likely. But the crowd applauds. 37 minutes. First commercial break.cheap gucci belts Blitzer promises to talk about space when we return. 40 minutes. We are back to talking about tax returns. Is Gingrich satisfied with the Romney releases? ??Wolf, you and I have a great relationship.fake uggs It goes back a long way. I’m with him,?? Gingrich says of Santorum. ??This is a nonsense question.?? Blitzer points out that Gingrich recently said of Romney, ??He lives in a world of Swiss bank and Cayman Island bank accounts.ugg boots outlet?? 41 minutes. Just as Gingrich seems to be succeeding in getting the question dropped, Romney jumps in. ??Wouldn’t it be nice if people didn’t make accusations somewhere else that they weren’t willing to defend here??? he says. So Gingrich pivots from bickering with Blitzer and attacks Romney.fake louis vuitton ??I don’t know of any American President who has had a Swiss bank account,?? he says. ??I’d be glad for you to explain that sort of thing.?? (MORE:?Major League Primary: Why Florida Is the Big Show of the GOP Race) 43 minutes. Romney blames the blind trust.louis vuitton neverfull Then he finds words to defend his wealth that have been missing for the past three debates. ??I’m proud of being successful. I’m proud of being in the free-enterprise system that creates jobs for other people. I’m not going to run from that,?? Romney says.louis vuitton belts ??I’m proud of the taxes I pay. My taxes, plus my charitable contributions, this year, 2011, will be about 40%.?? The two men go back and forth a bit more. 45 minutes.louis vuitton speedy Some talk about tax rates. Gingrich tries to explain why he both talks about Romney??s tax rates in a derogatory way and wants to reduce his taxes to zero by eliminating the capital-gains tax. Gingrich says he wants everyone to pay what Romney now pays in taxes, even if it means reducing Romney??s taxes further. ??My goal is to shrink the government to fit the revenue, not to raise the revenue to catch up with the government,?? he says.replica louis vuitton Santorum chimes in to say he doesn??t want taxes quite as low as Gingrich. Paul says he wants to get rid of the 16th Amendment, which gives Congress the power to collect taxes. 49 minutes. Blitzer asks Paul if he will release his health records.chanel handbags for sale ??Oh, obviously, because it’s about one page,?? the 76-year-old says. ??I’m willing to challenge any of these gentlemen up here to a 25-mile bike ride any time of the day in the heat of Texas.?? Everyone else onstage agrees to release their health records too. 50 minutes.fake ugg boots Space-cadet time. Romney is against a moon base but for a vibrant space program, whatever that means. Gingrich is for a moon base, largely to beat the Chinese, but he says lots of the efforts to get there could be done with private enterprise. Santorum thinks a moon base is too expensive.louis vuitton handbags for sale ??Well, I don’t think we should go to the moon,?? says Paul. ??I think we maybe should send some politicians up there.?? Paul is so cool. Maybe his sound monetary policy does have beats after all.loui vuitton 56 minutes. Blitzer points out that Gingrich would allow a lunar colony with 13,000 Americans in it apply for statehood, which is probably a pander to the same stoner college vote that Paul has wrapped up. Romney, who is still in alpha-dog mode, attacks again. ??I spent 25 years in business,?? he says.gucci outlet online ??If I had a business executive come to me and say they wanted to spend a few hundred billion dollars to put a colony on the moon, I’d say, ‘You’re fired.?? ?? Romney tends to get in trouble when he talks about firing people. Yet he still does it. Then he accuses Gingrich of pandering to Floridians, like he did to South Carolinians and to New Hampshirites.louis vuitton neverfull 59 minutes. Gingrich answers by pandering more. ??The port of Jacksonville is going to have to be expanded because the Panama Canal is being widened, and I think that’s a useful thing for a President to know,?? he says. He also talks about the Everglades.louis vuitton handbags for sale Then he claims again to have created four consecutive balanced budgets, which is not true. (See last debate recap.) 60 minutes. Paul points out that the balanced budgets Gingrich claims still included deficits, if one accounts for the money that was taken out of Social Security.louis vuitton belts ??I agree with Ron,?? Gingrich responds, once again undermining his own talking point. ??I actually agree with you, and I propose that we take Social Security off budget.?? 62 minutes. Question from the audience by an unemployed woman without health insurance.louis vuitton speedy She asks what the candidates would do for her. Paul says he would get government out of health insurance. Gingrich says he would repeal ObamaCare and get the economy going again and create a new health reform that gives her a tax break to buy health insurance. 64 minutes.cheap gucci belts Romney basically agrees and then attacks President Obama. This is the first time he has attacked Obama in a sustained way. Last debate, this moment came at 71 minutes. In the previous dozen or so debates, he attacked Obama with just about every answer.louis vuitton speedy 66 minutes. Santorum goes after Gingrich and Romney for supporting ObamaCare-like health reforms in the past. The substance has been well trod in prior debates. But what is notable is that in the tit for tat that follows, Santorum kind of gets under Romney??s skin in a way that Gingrich has so far failed to do.fake uggs ??I make enough mistakes in what I say, not for you to add more mistakes to what I say,?? Romney says at one point. It??s meant as a joke. But no one laughs. 72 minutes.gucci outlet online As Santorum continues to tear into Romney for the horror of what he did in Massachusetts in 2004, it is worth remembering that Santorum endorsed Romney for President in 2008. 75 minutes. ??Congressman Paul, who is right??? asks Blitzer. ??I think they’re all wrong,?? Paul says.louis vuitton belts 76 minutes. The candidates are asked to name Hispanic leaders they could see in their Cabinet. They all do. Except Paul.cheap gucci belts ??I don’t have one particular name that I’m going to bring up,?? he says. 78 minutes. Commercial break. 82 minutes.ugg boots outlet We??re back. Candidates are asked to say why their wives are great. Paul says he has been married 54 years, and his wife wrote ??a very famous cookbook, The Ron Paul Cookbook.?? Romney says his wife has overcome breast cancer and multiple sclerosis and wants to make sure young women don??t get pregnant before marriage.louis vuitton replica Gingrich says his wife plays the French horn and writes patriotic books. Santorum says his wife has written a couple of books ?? one about their child who died at birth and one about training kids to have good manners. (MORE: First Florida Debate Coverage) 88 minutes. Romney and Gingrich are asked to bicker over who is closer to Reagan.gucci outlet online Romney admits that it took him a long time to come around to the Reagan view. ??I became more conservative,?? he says. Gingrich says Nancy Reagan told him the Reagan torch had been passed to him. Then he attacks Romney.louis vuitton backpack for sale ??In ’92 he was donating to the Democrats for Congress and voted for Paul Tsongas in the Democratic primary,?? Gingrich says. ??In ’94, running against Teddy Kennedy, he said flatly, I don’t want to go back to the Reagan-Bush era, I was an independent.?? 91 minutes. ??I??ve never voted for a Democrat when there was a Republican on the ballot,?? says Romney, which is a pretty misleading thing to say.louis vuitton neverfull There was also a Republican primary in 1992. Romney could have chosen to vote in it. 92 minutes. Questions about Cuba.handbags louis vuitton Santorum is against the Obama policy of liberalizing relations. He warns of ??jihadists who want to set up missile sites?? in Cuba or Venezuela. Paul shoots back that he doesn??t think the American people ??see a jihadist under the bed every night.?? If he had any chance of winning, Paul would be seen as the winner of this debate.cheap gucci belts 95 minutes. Romney attacks Obama??s Cuba policy. So does Gingrich. 98 minutes.fake ugg boots A self-described Palestinian in the audience, as part of a question about Middle East peace, says, ??I’m here to tell you we do exist.?? Romney responds by saying, ??It’s the Palestinians who don’t want a two-state solution.?? This is not true. The Palestinians have gone to the United Nations demanding just such a thing, though they differ with Israel about borders and conditions.fake louis vuitton Gingrich repeats his previous claim about Palestinian invention. ??It was technically an invention of the late 1970s, and it was clearly so. Prior to that, they were Arabs. Many of them were either Syrian, Lebanese or Egyptian or Jordanian,?? he says.louis vuitton replica By that standard, Americans are an invented people too. But no one points this out. 102 minutes. Question about Puerto Rican statehood.louis vuitton speedy Santorum panders a lot, praising Puerto Rico and its leaders ?? but then declines to take a position on statehood. 105 minutes. Question about how religious views would affect their presidencies. Paul says that all that matters to him in the job is the Constitution.replica louis vuitton Gingrich says he would pray for guidance and stop the war against Christianity that is being waged by the ??secular elite.?? Santorum says he understands that rights come from God, not government. 110 minutes. One more break.louis vuitton belts 113 minutes. Last question: Why are you the person most likely to beat Obama? Paul suggests that he can pick up support from Obama??s base by coming at the President from the left on foreign policy and civil liberties. Romney recites his stump speech. Critical time, social-welfare state, etc.chanel handbags for sale Gingrich does a riff about Saul Alinsky, food stamps and appeasement. Santorum says he can win blue collar Reagan Democrats. 120 minutes. We are done.loui vuitton Pretty much as expected. Now Florida must vote. The outcome will no doubt determine how many more debates must be endured.
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